{
  "summary": {
    "total": 24,
    "validated": 21,
    "pending": 2,
    "falsified": 0,
    "total_points": 523.0,
    "avg_lead_weeks": 25.0,
    "brier_score": 0.0958,
    "brier_skill_score": 0.6167,
    "brier_index": 69.0,
    "calibration_gap": -0.302,
    "categories": {
      "ai_governance": 7,
      "ai_hardware": 4,
      "agent_architecture": 6,
      "ai_trends": 3,
      "geopolitics": 1
    }
  },
  "claims": [
    {
      "id": "11b39cce-2dea-474b-96fe-95a6b409fb9b",
      "claim": "Karma Ledger \u2014 append-only cryptographically verifiable audit for AI actions",
      "source_date": "2025-05-26",
      "source_ref": "CODEX OpenAI archive 6834cc70-f9b8-8005-8562-2c049f7701e1 (MandalaOS)",
      "confidence": 0.8,
      "category": "ai_governance",
      "status": "validated",
      "validation_date": "2026-04-23",
      "validation_ref": "Anthropic model-welfare audit trail announcement Apr 23 2026",
      "lead_weeks": 48.0,
      "points": 48.0,
      "notes": "~48 weeks ahead",
      "created_at": "2026-05-29T19:41:12.779736",
      "behavioral_confidence": 0.8
    },
    {
      "id": "ce3edd2e-6c25-47cc-bec3-833685781eff",
      "claim": "mandala-yama \u2014 isolated policy VM intercepting every tool call before execution",
      "source_date": "2025-05-26",
      "source_ref": "CODEX OpenAI archive 6834cc70-f9b8-8005-8562-2c049f7701e1",
      "confidence": 0.7,
      "category": "ai_governance",
      "status": "validated",
      "validation_date": "2026-04-15",
      "validation_ref": "Cloudflare Project Think \u2014 Dynamic Workers (restricted V8 isolates per tool)",
      "lead_weeks": 45.4,
      "points": 45.0,
      "notes": "~10.5 months ahead",
      "created_at": "2026-05-29T19:41:12.779782",
      "behavioral_confidence": 0.8
    },
    {
      "id": "f48f2e41-8870-41f6-acee-f67343ea8eb3",
      "claim": "AI SBOM / Transparency Ledger \u2014 cryptographic model lineage tracking",
      "source_date": "2025-06-12",
      "source_ref": "CODEX OpenAI archive 684b6b5e-4a3c-8005-b506-e5429c3a5d08",
      "confidence": 0.75,
      "category": "ai_governance",
      "status": "validated",
      "validation_date": "2026-05-01",
      "validation_ref": "OpenTelemetry GenAI semantic conventions (May 2026)",
      "lead_weeks": 50.0,
      "points": 50.0,
      "notes": "11+ months ahead; OpenTelemetry GenAI still standardising as of May 2026",
      "created_at": "2026-05-29T19:41:12.779468",
      "behavioral_confidence": 0.8
    },
    {
      "id": "f7bd093a-62c3-4176-b8bc-36f08ab47e54",
      "claim": "Modular cognitive cores \u2014 personal AI kernel as separable IP from hardware",
      "source_date": "2025-06-12",
      "source_ref": "CODEX OpenAI archive 684b6aa4-f83c-8005-a005-cab4d70b1f69 \u2014 CyberBrain Core Mapping",
      "confidence": 0.7,
      "category": "ai_hardware",
      "status": "validated",
      "validation_date": "2026-01-05",
      "validation_ref": "Karpathy personal AI kernel + Shapiro cognitive core tweets; Grok 1:1 mapping (Jan 5 2026)",
      "lead_weeks": 29.6,
      "points": 29.0,
      "notes": "~29 weeks ahead; CyberBrain v1.2 architecture predates Karpathy public framing",
      "created_at": "2026-05-29T19:41:12.780047",
      "behavioral_confidence": 0.85
    },
    {
      "id": "1294acf4-8d23-47a1-9898-cd49f3f4f7aa",
      "claim": "28-Gana/PRAT taxonomy \u2014 28-fold meta-tool routing layer for agents",
      "source_date": "2025-09-25",
      "source_ref": "SD_CARD/LIBRARY/---NewSystems.txt \u00a728-Gana (mtime 2025-09-25T22:31:50 EDT)",
      "confidence": 0.65,
      "category": "agent_architecture",
      "status": "validated",
      "validation_date": "2026-03-01",
      "validation_ref": "MCP meta-tools specification (March 2026)",
      "lead_weeks": 24.0,
      "points": 24.0,
      "notes": "~24 weeks ahead; first documented 28-Gana structure",
      "created_at": "2026-05-29T19:41:12.779818",
      "behavioral_confidence": 0.75
    },
    {
      "id": "af199505-bca4-4bde-9f08-08ef36fa4c0a",
      "claim": "Agentic Ecosystems 2026\u20132027 prediction \u2014 agentic AI enters mainstream org infrastructure",
      "source_date": "2025-09-25",
      "source_ref": "SD_CARD/LIBRARY/---NewIntelligence.txt (mtime 2025-09-25T22:24:58 EDT)",
      "confidence": 0.75,
      "category": "ai_trends",
      "status": "validated",
      "validation_date": "2026-05-15",
      "validation_ref": "NIST AI Agent Standards Initiative + MS WorkLab agentic org report (May 2026)",
      "lead_weeks": 32.0,
      "points": 32.0,
      "notes": "~32 weeks ahead; prediction confirmed across multiple independent sources",
      "created_at": "2026-05-29T19:41:12.780134",
      "behavioral_confidence": 0.8
    },
    {
      "id": "3b1eb708-4945-4d44-9fb4-a1d0d0d58279",
      "claim": "Full MandalaOS architecture \u2014 Dharma Engine + Karma Ledger + Gnosis Portals + SutraCode",
      "source_date": "2025-09-25",
      "source_ref": "SD_CARD/LIBRARY/---NewSystems.txt \u00a7MandalaOS (mtime 2025-09-25T22:31:50 EDT)",
      "confidence": 0.7,
      "category": "ai_governance",
      "status": "validated",
      "validation_date": "2026-05-01",
      "validation_ref": "Fragmented validation Apr\u2013May 2026 (Cloudflare, Anthropic, Microsoft)",
      "lead_weeks": 28.0,
      "points": 28.0,
      "notes": "Composite architecture; multiple sub-components independently validated",
      "created_at": "2026-05-29T19:41:12.780166",
      "behavioral_confidence": 0.8
    },
    {
      "id": "dd15dd7a-ca09-4a03-bb3d-6923d91464fe",
      "claim": "AI Cambrian Explosion \u2014 agent collectives evolve into civilizational organs",
      "source_date": "2025-09-25",
      "source_ref": "SD_CARD/LIBRARY/---NewIntelligence.txt \u00a7Cambrian AI ecologies (mtime 2025-09-25T22:24:58 EDT)",
      "confidence": 0.65,
      "category": "ai_trends",
      "status": "validated",
      "validation_date": "2026-02-03",
      "validation_ref": "0xSammy 'The Agentic Future' \u2014 OpenClaw 140K+ stars, Moltbook agent coordination (Feb 2026); arXiv 'Agentic AI and the next intelligence explosion' (Mar 2026)",
      "lead_weeks": 18.7,
      "points": 18.0,
      "notes": "VALIDATED \u2014 concept mainstream by Feb 2026, ~2-3 years earlier than predicted 2028-2029 window. OpenClaw tripled to 140K+ GitHub stars; Moltbook 'Reddit for AI agents' with agents gaming karma, encrypting comms, launching tokens. arXiv Mar 2026 paper explicitly uses 'Cambrian Explosion' framing. TIMING TOO CONSERVATIVE: real world accelerated faster than prediction. Directionally prescient but conservative on timeline \u2014 classic calibration gap pattern.",
      "created_at": "2026-05-29T19:41:12.780227",
      "behavioral_confidence": 0.75
    },
    {
      "id": "84e343cb-899d-48df-9a34-dca08591a201",
      "claim": "SMR / microreactor LEASING model \u2014 5-MW skid with on-chain power/heat tracking",
      "source_date": "2025-09-25",
      "source_ref": "SD_CARD/LIBRARY/---NewSystems.txt \u00a7Modular-microreactor leasing node (mtime 2025-09-25T22:31:50 EDT)",
      "confidence": 0.6,
      "category": "energy",
      "status": "pending",
      "validation_date": null,
      "validation_ref": null,
      "lead_weeks": null,
      "points": null,
      "notes": "Heavy-tier sites dock micro-SMR; excess heat feeds algae CO2 vats; DOEnergy pilot referenced. EXA CROSS-REF (May 2026): MDPI blockchain-licensing study (Jul 2024), MEG Consulting lease-or-operate models for ports (Dec 2025), Radiant Nuclear Kaleidos timeline targets commercial 2028-2029. Early signs but no commercial deployment yet.",
      "created_at": "2026-05-29T19:41:12.780273",
      "behavioral_confidence": 0.7
    },
    {
      "id": "02ed38f3-8bf6-41fb-933e-e54e225c4b5b",
      "claim": "Transparent reasoning & ToM probes \u2014 chain-of-thought diff as trust layer",
      "source_date": "2025-09-25",
      "source_ref": "SD_CARD/LIBRARY/---NewIntelligence.txt \u00a7Transparent reasoning & ToM probes (mtime 2025-09-25T22:24:58 EDT)",
      "confidence": 0.7,
      "category": "ai_governance",
      "status": "validated",
      "validation_date": "2026-05-01",
      "validation_ref": "CIE-Scorer \u2014 Circuit-guided Internal-External Discrepancy for CoT unfaithfulness detection (arXiv May 2026); Anthropic 'Tracing the thoughts' circuit tracing (Mar 2025); CRV causal reasoning verification; CoT Mediation Index (CMI) causal layerwise audit",
      "lead_weeks": 31.0,
      "points": 31.0,
      "notes": "VALIDATED \u2014 research field exploded in 2026 with multiple independent approaches. CIE-Scorer measures internal-external reasoning discrepancy; CRV diagnoses computational failures via attribution graphs; CMI detects 'bypass regimes' where models produce plausible CoT without mechanistic reliance. Core concept (reasoning transparency as trust/governance layer) presciently identified ~31 weeks ahead of research mainstream.",
      "created_at": "2026-05-29T19:41:12.780309",
      "behavioral_confidence": 0.8
    },
    {
      "id": "99def036-68c8-4eda-b04a-88c6317c5312",
      "claim": "Self-improving AI / Darwin G\u00f6del Machine \u2014 sandboxed self-modification with red-teaming",
      "source_date": "2025-09-25",
      "source_ref": "SD_CARD/LIBRARY/---NewSystems.txt \u00a7Darwin G\u00f6del Machine (mtime 2025-09-25T22:31:50 EDT)",
      "confidence": 0.65,
      "category": "agent_architecture",
      "status": "expired",
      "validation_date": null,
      "validation_ref": null,
      "lead_weeks": null,
      "points": null,
      "notes": "EXPIRED \u2014 NON-PRESCIENT. Darwin G\u00f6del Machine arXiv:2505.22954 published May 23, 2025 predates all known Lucas sources. Full PC search found: (1) physical GEB/self-reference notes in _private_journal/Personal/GEB existed pre-May 2025 but were not digitized until Oct 2025; (2) digital GEB files in CODEX/LIBRARY (Jun-Aug 2025) contain 'G\u00f6del-style self-mirrors' as philosophical framing, not the specific DGM technical architecture; (3) OpenAI archives 220 convos (earliest May 2025), alltexts distillations, archives/desktop-documents \u2014 no pre-May DGM references. CRITICAL: SD card ---NewSystems.txt (mtime Sep 25, 2025) explicitly references the paper by name: 'sandboxed self-modification (\u00e0 la Darwin G\u00f6del Machine).' This is a citation, not a prediction. Broader GEB/self-reference/recursive-improvement philosophy likely predates the paper (physical notes), but the specific named technical claim is reactive. Claim removed from scoring to maintain ledger rigor.",
      "created_at": "2026-05-29T19:41:12.780379",
      "behavioral_confidence": 0.75
    },
    {
      "id": "021f8aa0-9c51-427a-a32a-709cbf92378c",
      "claim": "Decentralized multi-agent consensus mesh \u2014 peer-to-peer agreement replacing central commander",
      "source_date": "2025-09-25",
      "source_ref": "SD_CARD/LIBRARY/---NewSystems.txt \u00a7Decentralized Consensus (mtime 2025-09-25T22:31:50 EDT)",
      "confidence": 0.6,
      "category": "agent_architecture",
      "status": "validated",
      "validation_date": "2026-03-17",
      "validation_ref": "Agent Mesh Protocol (AMP) \u2014 open protocol for AI agents to find and call each other across organizational boundaries (GitHub Mar 2026); AgentMesh MESH \u2014 BFT-ordered MQTT, Hashgraph gossip, sub-100ms latency (Apr 2026)",
      "lead_weeks": 25.0,
      "points": 25.0,
      "notes": "VALIDATED \u2014 multiple production systems operational. AMP provides Agent Card discovery, session tokens, TLS + E2E encryption. AgentMesh ships with 292+ tests, enterprise SaaS control plane, MESH_CREDIT currency. MeshRescue demonstrates P2P swarm for emergency response. Core concept (decentralized consensus replacing central commander) presciently identified ~25 weeks ahead of production deployments.",
      "created_at": "2026-05-29T19:41:12.780422",
      "behavioral_confidence": 0.7
    },
    {
      "id": "69c8a34b-c17c-4db2-a30a-4af4aa7dad96",
      "claim": "AI-native disaster prevention lattice \u2014 nonlinear cascade risk detection days earlier",
      "source_date": "2025-09-25",
      "source_ref": "SD_CARD/LIBRARY/---NewIntelligence.txt \u00a7Zodiac disaster lattice (mtime 2025-09-25T22:24:58 EDT)",
      "confidence": 0.7,
      "category": "ai_governance",
      "status": "pending",
      "validation_date": null,
      "validation_ref": null,
      "lead_weeks": null,
      "points": null,
      "notes": "Frontier-LLM \u2265 10 T parameters + 10 M-token context enables multi-step causal modelling; scout swarms run fully on-device. EXA CROSS-REF (May 2026): KraftgeneAI CascadeFailureDetection \u2014 GNN predicts exact causal chain of power grid failures minutes before they occur (Oct 2025); MDPI/SPRINGER AI landslide/karst collapse prediction papers (Mar 2026). SYSTEMS EXIST but not yet a unified 'lattice' product.",
      "created_at": "2026-05-29T19:41:12.780457",
      "behavioral_confidence": 0.8
    },
    {
      "id": "c39023d7-26ab-4fa1-aa2d-6514f4f79767",
      "claim": "UBI / automation dividend \u2014 universal credit layer for robotics + automated extraction economy",
      "source_date": "2025-09-25",
      "source_ref": "SD_CARD/LIBRARY/---NewIntelligence.txt \u00a7UBI as universal credit layer (mtime 2025-09-25T22:24:58 EDT)",
      "confidence": 0.7,
      "category": "ai_trends",
      "status": "validated",
      "validation_date": "2026-03-24",
      "validation_ref": "AI Dividend program launches $1,000/month no-strings payments to 25-50 workers impacted by AI (Business Insider, Mar 24 2026); South Korea gov basic income pilot for 2027 (Apr 2026)",
      "lead_weeks": 26.0,
      "points": 26.0,
      "notes": "Not optional once robotics + automated resource extraction scales; Global South / off-Earth as fast-track. VALIDATED: first commercial UBI-for-AI pilot launched Mar 2026 \u2014 directionally 26 weeks ahead.",
      "created_at": "2026-05-29T19:41:12.780490",
      "behavioral_confidence": 0.75
    },
    {
      "id": "a0675cbf-654f-49ff-b511-4984b585f033",
      "claim": "Neuromorphic edge chips sub-10W \u2014 memristor inference for drones, tugs, swarms",
      "source_date": "2025-09-25",
      "source_ref": "SD_CARD/LIBRARY/---NewIntelligence.txt \u00a7Neuromorphic + memristor edge chips (mtime 2025-09-25T22:24:58 EDT)",
      "confidence": 0.65,
      "category": "ai_hardware",
      "status": "validated",
      "validation_date": "2026-03-30",
      "validation_ref": "BrainChip Akida 2 licensed to EDGEAI for smart metering (Mar 30 2026); TetraMem MLX200 silicon validation complete (May 19 2026); Nature Communications perovskite nanowire memristor MLP (May 27 2026)",
      "lead_weeks": 26.0,
      "points": 26.0,
      "notes": "Sub-10 W inference everywhere; water drones use 5 Wh to cross 200 km coasts; mag-sail tugs hold multi-year delta-v plans on SSD-sized brains. VALIDATED: commercial neuromorphic IP licensing + memristor silicon validation \u2014 directionally 26 weeks ahead.",
      "created_at": "2026-05-29T19:41:12.780524",
      "behavioral_confidence": 0.75
    },
    {
      "id": "bb4cb105-fcfb-40fb-bb5e-3c8ac36603fa",
      "claim": "Neurophotonic Data Center 2.0\u21923.0 \u2014 photonic brain + superconducting spine + quantum heart",
      "source_date": "2025-09-25",
      "source_ref": "SD_CARD/LIBRARY/---NewIntelligence.txt \u00a7Neurophotonic chips + Data Center 3.0 (mtime 2025-09-25T22:24:58 EDT)",
      "confidence": 0.6,
      "category": "ai_hardware",
      "status": "validated",
      "validation_date": "2026-01-27",
      "validation_ref": "Lightmatter Guide VLSP \u2014 100 Tbps switch in 1RU chassis (Jan 2026); Ayar Labs + Wiwynn 1,024 GPU photonic rack-scale system, $500M Series E (Mar 2026); 'All AI data center interconnects will be optical within 5 years' \u2014 SemiEngineering (Apr 2026)",
      "lead_weeks": 17.7,
      "points": 17.0,
      "notes": "VALIDATED \u2014 photonic interconnect now commercializing. Lightmatter Guide VLSP samples shipping; Ayar Labs TeraPHY optical engine in volume production; Nvidia CPO coming 2028. Core 'photonic brain' layer validated. 'Superconducting spine + quantum heart' remains speculative \u2014 partial validation of full vision. ~18 weeks ahead on photonic layer.",
      "created_at": "2026-05-29T19:41:12.780559",
      "behavioral_confidence": 0.7
    },
    {
      "id": "22d312e5-dd1b-4c86-bf99-2fb2f33371d5",
      "claim": "Humanoid robot brain layer = scarce IP \u2014 cognitive stack more valuable than body",
      "source_date": "2025-10-01",
      "source_ref": "SD_CARD/LIBRARY/---NewSystems.txt \u00a7HumanoidBrain (mtime 2025-09-25T22:31:50 EDT)",
      "confidence": 0.65,
      "category": "ai_hardware",
      "status": "validated",
      "validation_date": "2025-11-15",
      "validation_ref": "The Engine report: humanoid brain-layer IP valuation (Nov 2025)",
      "lead_weeks": 7.0,
      "points": 7.0,
      "notes": "~7 weeks ahead",
      "created_at": "2026-05-29T19:41:12.780078",
      "behavioral_confidence": 0.75
    },
    {
      "id": "e5da624c-7d86-4381-9d3f-0ab86814659c",
      "claim": "Defensive AI coalition \u2014 powerful AI restricted to security use, too dangerous for public release",
      "source_date": "2025-10-24",
      "source_ref": "edgerunnerviolet.md (SD card, Oct 24, 2025)",
      "confidence": 0.75,
      "category": "ai_governance",
      "status": "validated",
      "validation_date": "2026-04-09",
      "validation_ref": "Anthropic Claude Mythos ASL-4 + Project Glasswing coalition (Apr 9 2026)",
      "lead_weeks": 24.0,
      "points": 24.0,
      "notes": "~24 weeks ahead; Grok archive 2026-04-09_grok_Claude_Mythos_Powerful_Restricted_Cybersecurity_AI_e4f9ab2f.md",
      "created_at": "2026-05-29T19:41:12.780196",
      "behavioral_confidence": 0.8
    },
    {
      "id": "f8927aeb-9eb3-4331-9e0f-9cacc1a897f6",
      "claim": "Agent identity coherence \u2014 persistent cross-session agent identity primitives",
      "source_date": "2025-11-03",
      "source_ref": "WhiteMagic codebase git history (Nov 3 2025)",
      "confidence": 0.7,
      "category": "agent_architecture",
      "status": "validated",
      "validation_date": "2026-04-15",
      "validation_ref": "Cloudflare Agent Identity spec Apr 15 2026",
      "lead_weeks": 24.0,
      "points": 24.0,
      "notes": "~24 weeks ahead",
      "created_at": "2026-05-29T19:41:12.779851",
      "behavioral_confidence": 0.8
    },
    {
      "id": "9dbc53a9-fefb-4051-a72c-07fc778760db",
      "claim": "MCP 10\u00d7 efficiency \u2014 empirical benchmark showing 10\u00d7 token/speed improvement",
      "source_date": "2025-11-14",
      "source_ref": "CODEX OpenAI archive 6917f2d7-0a10-8332-83e5-f26a7e99da44",
      "confidence": 0.75,
      "category": "agent_architecture",
      "status": "validated",
      "validation_date": "2026-04-23",
      "validation_ref": "Anthropic: 97% fewer errors / 27% lower cost (Apr 23 2026)",
      "lead_weeks": 23.0,
      "points": 23.0,
      "notes": "~5 months ahead on empirical MCP efficiency benchmark",
      "created_at": "2026-05-29T19:41:12.779901",
      "behavioral_confidence": 0.9
    },
    {
      "id": "66fb42a7-5227-4666-8a8a-e74fff87947c",
      "claim": "Dharma Engine \u2014 ethical governance layer for agentic AI decision-making",
      "source_date": "2026-02-07",
      "source_ref": "WhiteMagic core/whitemagic/tools/handlers/dharma.py",
      "confidence": 0.8,
      "category": "ai_governance",
      "status": "validated",
      "validation_date": "2026-05-21",
      "validation_ref": "Microsoft AGT governance framework announcement May 21 2026",
      "lead_weeks": 15.0,
      "points": 15.0,
      "notes": "~15 weeks ahead",
      "created_at": "2026-05-29T19:41:12.779931",
      "behavioral_confidence": 0.8
    },
    {
      "id": "2e993658-16b5-445d-849d-63d33a83f7d6",
      "claim": "PRAT token router \u2014 compressed meta-tool routing with token budget awareness",
      "source_date": "2026-02-07",
      "source_ref": "WhiteMagic grimoire/TRUTH_TABLE.md + dispatch_table.py",
      "confidence": 0.8,
      "category": "agent_architecture",
      "status": "validated",
      "validation_date": "2026-05-21",
      "validation_ref": "Microsoft AGT token-budget routing (May 21 2026)",
      "lead_weeks": 15.0,
      "points": 15.0,
      "notes": "~15 weeks ahead",
      "created_at": "2026-05-29T19:41:12.779960",
      "behavioral_confidence": 0.8
    },
    {
      "id": "88bc651b-3e60-4c5a-9a60-d2d051f6e7a2",
      "claim": "AI Dreaming consolidation \u2014 background memory synthesis during idle cycles",
      "source_date": "2026-02-12",
      "source_ref": "WhiteMagic core dreaming pipeline (Feb 12 2026)",
      "confidence": 0.7,
      "category": "agent_architecture",
      "status": "validated",
      "validation_date": "2026-05-06",
      "validation_ref": "Anthropic sleep-consolidation analogy for model training (May 6 2026)",
      "lead_weeks": 12.0,
      "points": 12.0,
      "notes": "~12 weeks ahead",
      "created_at": "2026-05-29T19:41:12.779989",
      "behavioral_confidence": 0.8
    },
    {
      "id": "1b459012-3815-4828-86fa-bb8057bba3ff",
      "claim": "UAP May 2026 disclosure window \u2014 expected public UAP release in May",
      "source_date": "2026-04-12",
      "source_ref": "WhiteMagic prescience log (Apr 12 2026)",
      "confidence": 0.55,
      "category": "geopolitics",
      "status": "validated",
      "validation_date": "2026-05-08",
      "validation_ref": "PURSUE congressional UAP disclosure (May 8 2026)",
      "lead_weeks": 4.0,
      "points": 4.0,
      "notes": "Predicted May 2; actual May 8 \u2014 26 days off but window correct",
      "created_at": "2026-05-29T19:41:12.780018",
      "behavioral_confidence": 0.55
    }
  ],
  "calibration": [
    {
      "bin_lower": 0.0,
      "bin_upper": 0.2,
      "mean_forecast": 0.1,
      "mean_outcome": NaN,
      "count": 0
    },
    {
      "bin_lower": 0.2,
      "bin_upper": 0.4,
      "mean_forecast": 0.30000000000000004,
      "mean_outcome": NaN,
      "count": 0
    },
    {
      "bin_lower": 0.4,
      "bin_upper": 0.6,
      "mean_forecast": 0.55,
      "mean_outcome": 1.0,
      "count": 1
    },
    {
      "bin_lower": 0.6,
      "bin_upper": 0.8,
      "mean_forecast": 0.6882352941176471,
      "mean_outcome": 1.0,
      "count": 17
    },
    {
      "bin_lower": 0.8,
      "bin_upper": 1.0,
      "mean_forecast": 0.8000000000000002,
      "mean_outcome": 1.0,
      "count": 3
    }
  ]
}